The Morning Economic Report
8:35 am
Wed July 16, 2014

Consumer Spending - 7/16/14

One of the driving forces behind the current U.S. economic recovery has been consumer spending.  Consumers have been dishing out money on any number of items, including merchandise sold on the Internet, automobiles and vacations.  They have also been spending at the nation’s malls, which is inducing shopping center owners to increase rents as retailers now in expansion mode jockey for dwindling available space according to the Wall Street Journal. 

Vacancies at the nation’s strip centers declined to 10.3 percent during the second quarter, nearly a percentage point lower than the post-recession high set in the third quarter of 2001.  At the nation’s malls, vacancy is now below 8 percent, down from a high of 9.4 percent set during the third quarter of 2011.  As a result, rents at the nation’s malls increased for a 13th consecutive quarter and for an eleventh consecutive quarter at strip centers. 

Vacancy rates are even lower at the highest quality shopping centers.  One of the reasons for this is a relative dearth of new shopping center construction.  While vacancy and rent dynamics reflect the ongoing recovery, the news is of course not all good.  Rising rents paid by retailers are likely to translate into rising prices for consumers.