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Global Housing Bubbles - 8/1/16

Low interest rates are not simply an American phenomenon – they are a global one.  A growing body of evidence suggests that these low interest rates are beginning to fuel housing bubbles – the types of bubbles that created so many issues beginning about a decade ago.  For instance, in Canada’s hottest real estate market, Vancouver, the benchmark home price recently rose by thirty two percent over a recent twelve month period. 

As reported in the Wall Street Journal, the typical detached home there now costs about one point two million U.S. dollars.  In Toronto, home prices are up about sixteen percent over the past year.  In both Sydney and Melbourne, Australia, home prices are up by more than eleven percent over the past year.  They are up by about sixteen percent in Stockholm, Sweden. 

Housing bubbles can inflict economic damage in a number of ways, including by pulling investment capital into construction and away from other economic segments.  Artificially high home prices can also induce people to take on more debt by making them feel wealthier.  When prices adjust lower as the bubble bursts, people are left with a considerable amount of debt and lack the wealth necessary to support it.  

Anirban Basu, Chariman Chief Executive Officer of Sage Policy Group (SPG), is one of the Mid-Atlantic region's leading economic consultants. Prior to founding SPG he was Chairman and CEO of Optimal Solutions Group, a company he co-founded and which continues to operate. Anirban has also served as Director of Applied Economics and Senior Economist for RESI, where he used his extensive knowledge of the Mid-Atlantic region to support numerous clients in their strategic decision-making processes. Clients have included the Maryland Department of Transportation, St. Paul Companies, Baltimore Symphony Orchestra Players Committee and the Martin O'Malley mayoral campaign.