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Less Temps Might Indicate Less Expansion - 6/9/16

One of the labor markets early warning indicators may be flashing trouble for the broader economy.  As reported by writer Eric Morath, hiring by staffing agencies has ground to a halt in twenty sixteen.  The temporary staffing sector has shed more than twenty seven thousand positions since December, which is in stark contrast to the previous five years when the category expanded five times faster than overall national employment. 

Many economists perceive the temporary staffing industry to be a leading indicator since cautious firms tend to initially hire temps when an expansion begins and tend to dismiss those nonpermanent workers when they sense that the economy may be faltering. 

The question now is whether the recent flattening in temporary employment represents a prelude to the next downturn or simply represents a respite for an industry that has been growing dramatically in recent years. 

As indicated by Morath, more than one in fifty U.S. workers were employed as temps at the end of last year, eclipsing a record established in early two thousand during the waning stages of America’s technology bubble.  

Anirban Basu, Chariman Chief Executive Officer of Sage Policy Group (SPG), is one of the Mid-Atlantic region's leading economic consultants. Prior to founding SPG he was Chairman and CEO of Optimal Solutions Group, a company he co-founded and which continues to operate. Anirban has also served as Director of Applied Economics and Senior Economist for RESI, where he used his extensive knowledge of the Mid-Atlantic region to support numerous clients in their strategic decision-making processes. Clients have included the Maryland Department of Transportation, St. Paul Companies, Baltimore Symphony Orchestra Players Committee and the Martin O'Malley mayoral campaign.