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U.S. Federal Budget Deficit - 9/12/14

The U.S. federal budget deficit is now projected to be a bit wider this year than was predicted four months ago due to weaker-than-anticipated economic growth during the first half of the year.  The weaker growth translated into softer tax collections according to the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office.  The projected shortfall for the current federal fiscal year, which ends on at the end of this month, is now $506 billion compared with an April prediction of $492 billion. 

The projected shortfall represents approximately 2.9 percent of gross domestic product, the smaller share of the economy since 2007.  Last year, the budget deficit was $680 billion, or 4.1 percent of gross domestic product.  During the first 10 months of the current fiscal year, the U.S. budget deficit was 24 percent less than it was during the same period one year prior.  Revenue over that period expanded 8 percent compared to a year earlier while spending was up 1.2 percent. 

As reported by Bloomberg, the 2015 deficit is expected to be in the range of $470 billion, which would amount to about 2.6 percent of gross domestic product.  In other words, the annual budget deficit is expected to continue to decline as a share of overall economic output.

Anirban Basu, Chariman Chief Executive Officer of Sage Policy Group (SPG), is one of the Mid-Atlantic region's leading economic consultants. Prior to founding SPG he was Chairman and CEO of Optimal Solutions Group, a company he co-founded and which continues to operate. Anirban has also served as Director of Applied Economics and Senior Economist for RESI, where he used his extensive knowledge of the Mid-Atlantic region to support numerous clients in their strategic decision-making processes. Clients have included the Maryland Department of Transportation, St. Paul Companies, Baltimore Symphony Orchestra Players Committee and the Martin O'Malley mayoral campaign.