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Value of the U.S. Dollar - 9/15/14

There is much dread expressed regarding the future of the U.S. dollar.  Many seem to believe that America is simply printing money to fuel economic growth and to pay back debts.  If that were true, inflation would be more problematic than it is, and interest rates would be higher.  Moreover, the value of the U.S. dollar has actually been rising recently against many major currencies, not falling. 

For instance, the dollar is faring especially well against the euro.  Through early September, the dollar had gained about 5 percent versus the euro in 2014 and as pointed out by CNNMoney and other sources has been climbing against the Japanese yen and British pound, too.  Many have been ploughing money into U.S. dollar denominated assets for a number of reasons, including to secure capital in a world characterized by spreading terror and Russian aggression. 

While some may take pride in the notion of a stronger U.S. dollar, the rise of the dollar creates issues for a number of key economic players, including American manufacturers.  When the dollar rises in value, the price of imported goods falls in real terms.  This leads consumers and others to step up their respective purchases of imported goods, which has the potential to reduce the sales of American producers.

Anirban Basu, Chariman Chief Executive Officer of Sage Policy Group (SPG), is one of the Mid-Atlantic region's leading economic consultants. Prior to founding SPG he was Chairman and CEO of Optimal Solutions Group, a company he co-founded and which continues to operate. Anirban has also served as Director of Applied Economics and Senior Economist for RESI, where he used his extensive knowledge of the Mid-Atlantic region to support numerous clients in their strategic decision-making processes. Clients have included the Maryland Department of Transportation, St. Paul Companies, Baltimore Symphony Orchestra Players Committee and the Martin O'Malley mayoral campaign.